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0x4b2323...9fe57c
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
60.7%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
249
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
4.49
Max Drawdown
3660.9%
ROI
-2.3%
Profit Factor
-0.17
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?BUY98.8¢1.012Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL90.0¢1.08Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL90.0¢2.15Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 26
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL70.0¢1.35Feb 19
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 19
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL74.0¢1.33Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL71.0¢1.34Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL81.0¢1.22Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY82.0¢1.22Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL73.0¢1.33Feb 11
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY74.9¢1.335Feb 11
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL83.0¢1.19Feb 11
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY84.0¢1.19Feb 11
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL72.0¢1.35Feb 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%27%50–70%20%70–80%11%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.9%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity249 trades · 64 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$95d profit59d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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