RuneCapital

0x56d84c...8eea22

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.7%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

107

Sharpe Ratio

-13.17

Sortino Ratio

-16.99

Max Drawdown

388571.8%

ROI

-0.8%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	99.3¢	1.027	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	6.874	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	BUY	98.3¢	15	Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5	BUY	99.0¢	1.99	Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5	BUY	97.0¢	20.619	Mar 5
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5	BUY	97.0¢	21.969	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	21.33	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	85.325	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	85.235	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.9¢	85.155	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	BUY	76.9¢	1.3	Mar 4
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	99.2¢	2.641	Mar 3
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	99.4¢	81.14	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	BUY	69.3¢	14.431	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	3.313	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	8.02	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	10	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	BUY	95.0¢	10.526	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	15	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.9%

Win Consistency8.0%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity107 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4840d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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