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sadff

0x5c0b9e...944d31
Smart Score
66
Win Rate
39.7%
Total P&L
+$15.3K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
Sortino Ratio
35.68
Max Drawdown
58.1%
ROI
66.9%
Profit Factor
24.24
Kelly Fraction
0.380
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
066.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?SELL23.3¢3.54Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?SELL8.0¢10.06Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?BUY28.4¢3.521Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?BUY9.9¢10.101Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL85.8¢1.16Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL54.3¢1.83Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?SELL93.0¢30Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?SELL92.0¢1.91Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL72.5¢1.42Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY93.0¢31.935Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY86.9¢1.151Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY73.9¢1.353Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY54.4¢1.838Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL99.5¢2.43Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL96.5¢2.45Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL98.2¢4.74Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL98.2¢4.21Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL96.6¢4.62Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL95.8¢7.92Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL95.6¢5.33Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%14%30–50%20%50–70%9%70–80%12%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active66.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)60.2%
Win Consistency51.3%
Profit Factor1.72
Drawdown Resilience1.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.39
Weekly Sharpe est.1.06
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2703d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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