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0x40d2e7...a4dc99@HansJeweldeLara
Smart Score
68
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
0.69
Sortino Ratio
2.63
Max Drawdown
39.5%
ROI
61.9%
Profit Factor
136.05
Kelly Fraction
0.496
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
068.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?BUY26.0¢3,937Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?BUY38.0¢20.526Jan 8
Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?BUY50.0¢16Nov 5
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.0¢490.9Oct 20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢498.03Oct 20
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢490.909Oct 20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢498.032Oct 20
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.6¢491.42Oct 20
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?SELL99.2¢485.39Oct 20
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?BUY99.3¢485.398Oct 18
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.7¢491.429Oct 18
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-09-27?BUY37.0¢21.622Sep 27
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?BUY38.9¢43.718Aug 21
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.6¢437.5Jul 27
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?SELL98.6¢438.56Jul 27
Ethereum Up or Down on July 27?BUY23.0¢48.261Jul 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8¢437.5Jul 26
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?BUY98.8¢438.563Jul 26
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?SELL1.5¢420Jul 26
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?SELL97.5¢420.08Jul 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%10–20%13%20–30%20%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%27%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active68.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.1%
Win Consistency73.3%
Profit Factor1.77
Drawdown Resilience1.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.43
Weekly Sharpe est.1.09
Trading Activity23 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,0812d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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