safojw11

0x226a50...41b2d8
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
84.4%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
53
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Sortino Ratio
0.12
Max Drawdown
242.9%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.20
Kelly Fraction
0.139
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
015/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY88.0¢37Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?BUY99.7¢32.558Jan 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 24?BUY99.5¢32.46Dec 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?BUY99.0¢32.303Dec 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?BUY99.7¢31.976Nov 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?BUY99.9¢31.881Nov 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?BUY99.9¢31.851Nov 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 7?BUY99.9¢31.821Nov 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 6?BUY99.6¢31.787Nov 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?BUY99.6¢31.657Nov 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 31?BUY99.9¢31.532Oct 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 30?BUY99.8¢31.503Oct 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 29?BUY99.0¢31.434Oct 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 24?BUY99.7¢31.123Oct 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 13?BUY98.5¢31.025Jun 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 6?BUY99.9¢30.56Jun 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?BUY98.7¢30.537May 22
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?BUY99.9¢30.14May 7
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?BUY97.2¢30.103Apr 21
Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11?BUY99.6¢29.267Apr 9
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%13%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%
Win Consistency37.5%
Profit Factor0.39
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity20 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6250d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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