salmoncream

0x252f06...bfbfc1

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.7%

Total P&L

+$1.6K

Trade Count

370

Sharpe Ratio

1.22

Sortino Ratio

17.35

Max Drawdown

17.6%

ROI

11.2%

Profit Factor

1.77

Kelly Fraction

0.151

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	37.9¢	1,005.93	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	126.11	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	165	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	108.885	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	41.7¢	997.329	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	38.5¢	8.61	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.7¢	599.62	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	16.7¢	395.17	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	13.636	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	4.167	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	20.833	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	485.468	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	24.0¢	2.52	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	17	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	592.52	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	25.02	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.5%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor1.53

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Trading Activity370 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1310d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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