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samhain4ik

samhain4ik

0x509363...0a272c
Smart Score
65
Win Rate
21.6%
Total P&L
+$22.1K
Trade Count
996
Sharpe Ratio
1.81
Sortino Ratio
85.15
Max Drawdown
48.5%
ROI
1508.8%
Profit Factor
5.90
Kelly Fraction
0.179
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
065.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY8.0¢6.63Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY8.0¢17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY37.0¢5.91Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY8.0¢6.37Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on March 5?BUY3.1¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY37.0¢1.683Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY39.0¢8.197Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢5.05Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.3¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢6Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%83%< 10%6%10–20%4%20–30%6%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active65.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.3%
Win Consistency51.2%
Profit Factor1.70
Drawdown Resilience1.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.37
Weekly Sharpe est.1.04
Trading Activity996 trades · 9 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3901d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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