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Sandoval1553

Sandoval1553

0x493cef...db953e
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
57.5%
Total P&L
+$904
Trade Count
376
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61
Sortino Ratio
-1.09
Max Drawdown
356.0%
ROI
6.0%
Profit Factor
6.50
Kelly Fraction
0.487
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY20.0¢487.87Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY82.0¢258.96Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY20.0¢12.13Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?SELL99.9¢1,100Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY15.5¢318.55Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY15.5¢34Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY15.5¢140.13Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY80.0¢200Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY6.0¢500Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?BUY15.4¢7.32Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL80.0¢1,000Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢1.53Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢43.59Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢6.579Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢131.579Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢10.526Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢10.526Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢5.645Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY25.0¢200Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL76.0¢190.01Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%71%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%6%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.6%
Win Consistency45.6%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity376 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,5135d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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