ScarlettWalk

0x68eecf...5e7092@bzobr52158926

Smart Score

Win Rate

97.8%

Total P&L

+$129

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.18

Max Drawdown

21.9%

ROI

3.3%

Profit Factor

124.98

Kelly Fraction

0.970

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	78.868	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	101.523	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	67.067	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	167.167	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	160.481	Feb 7
Will Alien10 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Feb 7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on February 8?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Feb 7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8?	BUY	99.8¢	2.505	Feb 7
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	62.062	Feb 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Feb 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 1?	BUY	98.8¢	2.024	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	100.502	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	100.705	Jan 13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	50.428	Jan 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 13?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Jan 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	150.904	Jan 9
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	3.006	Jan 9
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	2.008	Jan 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.4%

Win Consistency63.7%

Profit Factor1.67

Drawdown Resilience1.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.35

Weekly Sharpe est.1.03

Trading Activity73 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2650d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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