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scottad

0x541f98...1071a5
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
39.5%
Total P&L
-$79
Trade Count
56
Sharpe Ratio
-0.87
Sortino Ratio
-1.39
Max Drawdown
2200.4%
ROI
-21.6%
Profit Factor
0.49
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY97.0¢11.34Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY74.9¢1.335Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY53.9¢1.855Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY52.9¢1.89Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY30.0¢3.333Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY69.0¢7.246Feb 19
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?BUY89.2¢11.207Feb 8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY32.0¢15.625Feb 6
AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanBUY75.0¢13.333Jan 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSELL99.0¢10.75Jan 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY93.0¢10.753Jan 1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL99.8¢11.23Jan 1
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?BUY53.9¢5.38Dec 29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Dec 19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Dec 19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY3.3¢30.303Dec 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY25.0¢4Dec 19
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY30.0¢3.333Dec 16
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY84.2¢5.938Dec 16
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?BUY87.5¢2.286Dec 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%8%10–20%16%20–30%10%30–50%16%50–70%14%70–80%14%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency32.6%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity56 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2333d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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