Scuzzlebud

0x51ad56...e84c64

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.5%

Total P&L

+$21

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.42

Sortino Ratio

0.64

Max Drawdown

152.4%

ROI

7.0%

Profit Factor

1.91

Kelly Fraction

0.331

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	BUY	77.0¢	6.039	Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	BUY	91.9¢	3.264	Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	BUY	23.0¢	13.043	Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	4.93	Mar 5
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	34.4¢	8.714	Feb 25
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	96.4¢	3.79	Feb 25
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	22.222	Feb 18
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	4.9¢	43.01	Feb 18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	BUY	27.4¢	4.746	Feb 12
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	0.9¢	336.667	Feb 12
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	BUY	75.0¢	4	Feb 12
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	BUY	75.0¢	4	Feb 12
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	4.41	Feb 12
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?	SELL	92.0¢	3.94	Feb 12
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	79.0¢	3.797	Feb 12
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	5.79	Feb 12
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	5.797	Feb 10
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	SELL	22.0¢	19.04	Feb 7
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	21.0¢	19.048	Jan 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%

Win Consistency62.3%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity86 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$896d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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