SDC43F

0x80f226...a5ca86

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.7%

Total P&L

+$29

Trade Count

400

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Max Drawdown

2670.0%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

2.93

Kelly Fraction

0.446

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	17.172	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	5.91	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	5.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	7.14	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.19	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.6¢	10.77	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.6¢	9.28	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.9¢	9.288	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	BUY	99.8¢	8.016	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	7.18	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	10.753	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	13.23	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.8¢	7.014	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	68.0¢	13.235	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.9¢	6.067	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	10.9	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity400 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$53111d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue