sedahracs2

0x3cf1dc...3cafa2

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.5%

Total P&L

+$380

Trade Count

1,798

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

4.25

Max Drawdown

37.0%

ROI

5.4%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.059

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?	BUY	56.0¢	32.25	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	34.72	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	40.0¢	43.1	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	25.0¢	34.72	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	25.0¢	34.72	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	46.3	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	45.45	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	52.4¢	50	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	31.25	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	62.0¢	34.25	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	31.25	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	31.25	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	33.65	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	31.25	Mar 3
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	34	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	16.0¢	34.25	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	24.0¢	34.25	Mar 2
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	50.0¢	50	Mar 1
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	BUY	14.7¢	34	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	24.0¢	34.25	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.2%

Win Consistency59.4%

Profit Factor1.23

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity1,798 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,8048d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue