seisui

0x453abd...effdb8

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.2%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

970

Sharpe Ratio

-0.19

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

113.6%

ROI

115.1%

Profit Factor

6.52

Kelly Fraction

0.569

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	5.5¢	45	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	3.4¢	6.55	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	6.4¢	1.068	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.9¢	33.3	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	3.2¢	45	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	1.2¢	45	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	5.5¢	44.99	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	3.4¢	6.21	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.4¢	21.406	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SELL	3.5¢	45	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	8.2¢	35.99	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	1.5¢	44.99	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	5.4¢	7.16	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.4¢	20.12	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	1.4¢	40.94	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	3.4¢	10.33	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	1.7¢	33.3	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	8.1¢	16	Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	2.9¢	45	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	5.9¢	45	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%

Win Consistency47.7%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue