Semestbankoe

0x2b6152...b14e49

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.2%

Total P&L

-$235

Trade Count

562

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

7.64

Max Drawdown

1086.6%

ROI

-5.3%

Profit Factor

0.66

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	26.0¢	10	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	59.0¢	20	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	57.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	7.06	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	3.348	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	5.3¢	37.996	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	19.0¢	10.526	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	39.0¢	8.5	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	65.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	5.41	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	13	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	20	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	254.03	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	23	Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	SELL	98.7¢	13.66	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	61.0¢	16.393	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%

Win Consistency49.0%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity562 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,05915d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue