servandosibon

0x164c2d...89ff8c

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.42

Sortino Ratio

-2.10

Max Drawdown

80425.6%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

3.03

Kelly Fraction

0.645

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	35.035	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	30.09	Mar 5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	60.18	Mar 5
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	20.06	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	70.07	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	70.07	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.16	Mar 4
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	60.12	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	30.09	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	27.177	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	50	Mar 3
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 3
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of March?	BUY	99.8¢	40.08	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Cold" or "Colder" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	99.8¢	40.08	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	99.9¢	40.04	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	50.1	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency25.9%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity64 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,7000d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue