shardiv

0x1afbb4...14e524
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
39.0%
Total P&L
+$11.5K
Trade Count
686
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Sortino Ratio
20.66
Max Drawdown
656.8%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
2.93
Kelly Fraction
0.257
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL14.0¢769.23Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL6.1¢18.67Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL6.5¢170.21Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.0¢20.991Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.0¢71Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.0¢49.64Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.0¢3,049.71Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.0¢165Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL0.3¢201.94Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL0.9¢222.22Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢2,038.06Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢200Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢200Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢60Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢190Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢222Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢80.93Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢5Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢499.99Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.5¢580.14Feb 9
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%5%10–20%3%20–30%4%30–50%3%50–70%4%70–80%13%80–90%23%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.7%
Win Consistency44.1%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity673 trades · 84 active days
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P&L Calendar
$139,12523d profit61d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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