sharkshow

0x413814...362a24

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$159

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

1.82

Max Drawdown

33015.6%

ROI

3.7%

Profit Factor

1.38

Kelly Fraction

0.147

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	39.0¢	16	Mar 4
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	60.0¢	3.333	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	56.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	0.1¢	25,000	Feb 27
Will Base be accused of insider trading?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Feb 26
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	20,000	Feb 25
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	30,000	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BUY	35.0¢	5.714	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	4,106.88	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	10	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	1,000	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	12	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	14,871.12	Feb 25
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	BUY	16.0¢	10	Feb 24
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	BUY	34.0¢	5	Feb 24
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	0.1¢	30,000	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Feb 23
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	34,500	Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	BUY	63.0¢	3.175	Feb 22

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency41.2%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$13422d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue