Shirshulia

0x2484a7...246dfc

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.2%

Total P&L

+$461

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.00

Sortino Ratio

-1.27

Max Drawdown

6079.4%

ROI

7.2%

Profit Factor

1.68

Kelly Fraction

0.170

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.6¢	236.342	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.8¢	224	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	95.8¢	224.004	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.8¢	214.92	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	79.1¢	249.558	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	29.6¢	6.757	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	25.1¢	7.961	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	93.1¢	214.924	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.0¢	66.667	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	93.0¢	122.172	Mar 1
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	SELL	99.5¢	516.12	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	68.96	Mar 1
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	BUY	96.5¢	516.124	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.9¢	68.966	Feb 28
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BUY	57.0¢	114.965	Dec 30
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?	SELL	0.1¢	27.77	Dec 30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	SELL	4.0¢	76.92	Dec 30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	12.0¢	47.44	Dec 30
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	SELL	31.0¢	28.57	Dec 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency29.2%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity98 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3978d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue