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silverfish

0x362339...50aa5f
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
44.8%
Total P&L
-$153
Trade Count
246
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Sortino Ratio
4.49
Max Drawdown
2554.1%
ROI
-20.5%
Profit Factor
0.50
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY68.0¢1.471Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY35.0¢2.857Mar 5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY23.0¢4.348Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL81.0¢5.81Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY8.8¢11.364Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL21.0¢5.12Mar 5
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5BUY46.0¢2.174Mar 5
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5BUY49.0¢2.041Mar 5
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5BUY50.0¢2Mar 5
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5BUY48.0¢4.167Mar 5
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)BUY69.0¢1.449Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL60.0¢1.63Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY61.0¢1.639Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY86.1¢2.323Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY83.5¢2.395Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY69.0¢2.899Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢5Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY74.0¢1.351Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY81.0¢3.704Mar 4
Golden Knights vs. Red WingsBUY56.0¢3.571Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%8%10–20%7%20–30%16%30–50%23%50–70%14%70–80%14%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency39.3%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity234 trades · 53 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5445d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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