Accrue
Log inGet Access

simchi

0x024e1d...f381e3
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
76.6%
Total P&L
+$392
Trade Count
94
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
Max Drawdown
506.7%
ROI
2.2%
Profit Factor
7.85
Kelly Fraction
0.668
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY56.0¢61.857Mar 5
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL99.3¢34.88Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY97.7¢372.082Feb 1
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY96.0¢520.833Feb 1
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY97.1¢102.987Feb 1
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY98.6¢507.149Jan 27
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?SELL99.8¢30.77Jan 26
Will Trove refund ICO participants?BUY96.0¢104.167Jan 25
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?BUY80.0¢30Jan 14
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY86.0¢34.884Jan 14
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?BUY97.5¢30.778Jan 6
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL78.0¢281.69Jan 2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY71.0¢281.69Dec 27
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL76.0¢1,029.72Dec 27
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY74.0¢1,029.73Dec 26
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?SELL99.7¢506.58Dec 26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?SELL99.8¢261.7Dec 26
US civil war in 2025?BUY99.6¢301.205Dec 8
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?BUY99.1¢201.816Dec 8
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?BUY98.7¢59.889Nov 30

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%7%30–50%11%50–70%7%70–80%7%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.2%
Win Consistency62.5%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity62 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,37716d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics