simmmy

0x2b9a50...dcf6e9

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

123

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

0.25

Max Drawdown

216.8%

ROI

-1.0%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	0.3	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	SELL	60.0¢	0.51	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	0.95	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	68.0¢	0.77	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	87.0¢	0.75	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	5.5	Mar 4
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	BUY	6.9¢	21	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	0.41	Mar 4
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4600 (LOW) in Q1 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	2.5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	SELL	60.0¢	0.69	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	1.02	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.0¢	1.92	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	0.55	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.3¢	2.46	Mar 4
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4600 (LOW) in Q1 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	1.79	Mar 4
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	BUY	39.0¢	3.85	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	43.0¢	5.81	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	0.73	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	SELL	61.0¢	0.92	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%

Win Consistency53.2%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue