simonlon

0x1bd5cb...642712

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-1.25

Max Drawdown

105.9%

ROI

20.2%

Profit Factor

3.53

Kelly Fraction

0.430

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	4.255	Mar 5
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	0.6¢	134.05	Feb 15
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	0.6¢	30.66	Feb 15
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	0.6¢	164.714	Feb 15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	69.1¢	4.689	Feb 15
Timberwolves vs. Raptors	BUY	44.0¢	5.977	Feb 4
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	14.822	Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	14.82	Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	BUY	57.0¢	14.825	Jan 14

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity9 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$150d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue