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sincegyrate

sincegyrate

0x068632...ce9b29
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
51.5%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
55
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63
Sortino Ratio
-0.60
Max Drawdown
22125.5%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.03
Kelly Fraction
0.013
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢292.339Mar 5
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢493.952Mar 5
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢342.74Mar 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢443.54Mar 5
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢443.548Mar 4
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢342.742Mar 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢350.35Mar 4
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢430.43Mar 4
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢430.43Mar 3
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢350.35Mar 3
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL99.8¢380.38Mar 3
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL99.8¢400.4Mar 3
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY99.9¢400.4Mar 2
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY99.9¢380.38Mar 2
Raptors vs. CavaliersBUY64.0¢25Oct 31
Red Wings vs. DucksBUY49.0¢34.694Oct 31
Warriors vs. BucksBUY43.0¢30.233Oct 30
Rockets vs. RaptorsBUY67.0¢17.91Oct 29
Timberwolves vs. LakersBUY45.0¢13.333Oct 24
Blue Jays vs. OriolesBUY53.0¢3.302Jul 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%21%30–50%16%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.9%
Win Consistency27.0%
Profit Factor0.03
Drawdown Resilience0.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity48 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8652d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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