skyob

0xa2702a...9d4466

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.1%

Total P&L

+$150

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.21

Sortino Ratio

10.88

Max Drawdown

63.1%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.03

Kelly Fraction

0.010

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	181.818	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	9.3¢	318.08	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	30.4¢	16.447	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	83.333	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	8.4¢	178.298	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	44.0¢	55.35	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	35.0¢	42.857	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.8¢	310.53	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.9¢	42.017	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.8¢	189.528	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	BUY	22.0¢	68.182	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.2¢	40.984	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	136.26	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	7.7¢	259.136	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	58.8¢	34.007	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	9.2¢	54.348	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	85.463	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.2%

Win Consistency40.7%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 74 active days

P&L Calendar

$86134d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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