skywalker0780

0x040ffe...de7163

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$1.3K

Trade Count

254

Sharpe Ratio

1.10

Sortino Ratio

8.13

Max Drawdown

557.4%

ROI

21.5%

Profit Factor

3.45

Kelly Fraction

0.284

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	287.46	Mar 5
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	132.53	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?	SELL	1.0¢	71.42	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	SELL	3.3¢	28.8	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	SELL	24.0¢	46.66	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	BUY	24.0¢	16.667	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.4¢	71.429	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	BUY	20.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?	BUY	4.1¢	28.8	Mar 3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	SELL	21.0¢	157.77	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	8.0¢	20	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	18.0¢	27.778	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	11.0¢	100	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?	BUY	14.0¢	100	Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?	BUY	16.0¢	18	Feb 16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	23.0¢	30	Feb 15
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	15.66	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 14?	BUY	4.0¢	100	Feb 13
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	4.34	Feb 13

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.2%

Win Consistency71.0%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity254 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$32312d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue