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slur

slur

0x1e1d37...a84a9d
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
0.0%
Total P&L
-$202
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
6.26
Max Drawdown
56.4%
ROI
-95.5%
Profit Factor
0.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.4¢153.409Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?BUY0.3¢2,676.667Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY0.9¢790.999Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY2.6¢756.538Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?BUY0.2¢3,365Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?BUY1.2¢673.133Feb 28
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?BUY1.8¢364.066Feb 26
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?BUY1.5¢342Feb 26
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?BUY2.4¢250Feb 26
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY7.0¢67.714Jan 30
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?SELL2.4¢196.14Jan 30
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?BUY5.7¢196.14Jan 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢2,600Jan 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY3.7¢258.378Dec 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.7¢1,588.324Dec 3
Pacers vs. PistonsBUY19.0¢52.632Nov 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?BUY2.2¢454.818Nov 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.5¢2,182Oct 29
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.1¢5,940Oct 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY1.0¢1,395Oct 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%95%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity23 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2020d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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