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SM-

0x61c446...599309@stas_milchenko
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
34.4%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
150
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
1.42
Max Drawdown
701.3%
ROI
14.3%
Profit Factor
3.27
Kelly Fraction
0.239
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL50.0¢926.89Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL50.0¢1,073.26Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL2.4¢3,899.98Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY13.0¢400Feb 24
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY45.0¢200Feb 23
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY14.0¢1,000Feb 21
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY13.0¢1,000Feb 21
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY16.0¢88.85Feb 14
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY16.0¢88.78Feb 14
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY16.0¢75.9Feb 14
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY16.0¢246.47Feb 14
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY15.0¢119.64Feb 13
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY15.0¢49.412Feb 13
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY15.0¢5.106Feb 13
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY15.0¢825.83Feb 13
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL55.0¢477Feb 11
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL51.0¢117.38Feb 11
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL42.0¢481.68Feb 11
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL42.0¢1,018.32Feb 11
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY55.0¢130.43Feb 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%25%10–20%11%20–30%27%30–50%21%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%
Win Consistency37.5%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity142 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$5779d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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