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SmakAfriki

SmakAfriki

0x11de4c...c321d7
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
63.5%
Total P&L
+$6.3K
Trade Count
804
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
5.21
Max Drawdown
21796.7%
ROI
1.8%
Profit Factor
1.75
Kelly Fraction
0.272
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY88.0¢113.636Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.9¢999.97Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY88.0¢500Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY86.0¢185.15Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢53.69Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢10Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢602.41Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢86.627Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢1.93Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢120.482Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢108.882Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢15.95Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY85.0¢26.303Mar 4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL38.0¢100Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL22.0¢100Mar 4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?SELL39.0¢100Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.0¢58.13Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?SELL84.0¢132.84Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?SELL84.0¢41.43Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?SELL90.0¢289.66Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%13%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%14%50–70%17%70–80%13%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.9%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor0.94
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity804 trades · 86 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$64,40728d profit56d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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