Small.investo

0x8938c7...b7036d
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
48.2%
Total P&L
+$45
Trade Count
204
Sharpe Ratio
2.06
Sortino Ratio
49.09
Max Drawdown
193.4%
ROI
15.0%
Profit Factor
1.92
Kelly Fraction
0.231
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.8¢130Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.1¢35.71Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?SELL1.6¢5.58Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?SELL0.2¢23.8Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY22.6¢4.429Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.4¢142.857Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?BUY17.9¢5.587Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.0¢103Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL41.8¢5.02Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY39.9¢5.013Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL29.4¢5.27Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY37.9¢5.277Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL35.1¢8.81Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY22.7¢8.811Mar 4
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?BUY1.8¢56.345Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSELL47.0¢5.5Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSELL68.0¢2.05Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY28.0¢3.571Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY48.0¢2.083Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%7%10–20%16%20–30%26%30–50%23%50–70%9%70–80%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.17
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.9%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor1.02
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity204 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$241d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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