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Smyk

0x98b22d...d75335
Smart Score
71
Win Rate
34.0%
Total P&L
+$120
Trade Count
120
Sharpe Ratio
3.90
Sortino Ratio
52.87
Max Drawdown
20.7%
ROI
67.5%
Profit Factor
2.81
Kelly Fraction
0.219
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
070.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY7.3¢13.75Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSELL99.1¢7.86Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY16.9¢5.917Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY49.9¢2.004Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY44.0¢2.273Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY9.0¢11.111Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY1.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY14.0¢7.143Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY14.9¢6.711Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY53.0¢1.887Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY62.9¢1.59Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY50.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY32.9¢3.039Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.4¢8.065Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%15%10–20%17%20–30%20%30–50%31%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active70.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.1%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor1.83
Drawdown Resilience1.48
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.48
Weekly Sharpe est.1.13
Trading Activity120 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$700d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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