snowmann

0x5acd78...7fc079

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.5%

Total P&L

+$39.0K

Trade Count

728

Sharpe Ratio

-1.29

Sortino Ratio

-2.39

Max Drawdown

295.8%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.146

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	0.9¢	1,500	Mar 5
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	97.0¢	187	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	1,299	Mar 5
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	2.4¢	432.51	Mar 4
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	0.6¢	620	Mar 4
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	1.5¢	600	Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.3¢	830	Mar 4
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.5¢	330	Mar 4
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.0¢	872	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	2,886	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	99.3¢	500	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	3,875	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	92.9¢	300	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	92.9¢	860	Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.6¢	235	Mar 3
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	604	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	95.3¢	403	Mar 3
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.8¢	370	Mar 3
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.7¢	537	Mar 3
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.0¢	110	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.4%

Win Consistency42.1%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity728 trades · 88 active days

P&L Calendar

$387,9506d profit82d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue