Sophia999

0x1aa508...200a4e

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.97

Sortino Ratio

8.64

Max Drawdown

23.7%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

79.34

Kelly Fraction

0.691

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	4.044	Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	3.04	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	3.015	Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?	BUY	98.0¢	2.041	Feb 23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	BUY	93.0¢	5.376	Feb 23
Will Susan Collins attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.8¢	4.008	Feb 23
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?	BUY	97.8¢	1.227	Jan 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	97.7¢	1.024	Jan 21
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.2¢	1.613	Jan 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Dec 31
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?	BUY	99.2¢	1.008	Dec 31

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.4%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.67

Drawdown Resilience1.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.35

Weekly Sharpe est.1.03

Trading Activity11 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$270d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue