sour5

0x4484fd...ea3e17

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$27

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.89

Sortino Ratio

4.53

Max Drawdown

57.6%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?	BUY	79.6¢	30.008	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	BUY	55.0¢	24.218	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	7.656	Feb 21
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 17?	BUY	50.1¢	55.489	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on January 28?	BUY	75.0¢	14.96	Jan 27
Rams vs. Bears	BUY	65.0¢	20.65	Jan 18
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.8¢	1,129.63	Jan 17
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.9¢	1,129.63	Jan 17
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET	BUY	47.0¢	14.7	Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	72.2¢	33.487	Nov 30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	35.922	Nov 23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18?	BUY	22.0¢	11.136	Nov 17
Will Vitality win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?	BUY	70.0¢	22.329	Nov 13

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity13 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1611d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue