southfly

0x773c28...b6cc98@nanfeiye

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.1%

Total P&L

+$773

Trade Count

357

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-0.65

Max Drawdown

2560.1%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

3.01

Kelly Fraction

0.515

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	BUY	95.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	67.28	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	32.72	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	15	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	68.0¢	10	Mar 5
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	99.2¢	151.21	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.5¢	266.4	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.5¢	24.83	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.5¢	55	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	102.73	Mar 4
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 4
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	89.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	93.0¢	20	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	94.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.7¢	1,000	Mar 4
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	99.7¢	150	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	97.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.7¢	1,000	Mar 4

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%

Win Consistency52.5%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity357 trades · 53 active days

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