souvy

0x3f2c3d...dbc361

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.6%

Total P&L

+$30

Trade Count

132

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

43.63

Max Drawdown

22797.6%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

1.22

Kelly Fraction

0.072

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	12.6¢	7.921	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	10.526	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	28.6¢	28.35	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.6¢	28.352	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	12.346	Mar 3
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	BUY	3.1¢	161.29	Dec 29
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?	SELL	40.0¢	24.15	Dec 28
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?	BUY	20.7¢	24.155	Dec 28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	SELL	3.0¢	110	Dec 2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	9.88	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	6.7	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	7.14	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	29.99	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	20	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	36.29	Nov 27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	SELL	5.0¢	110	Nov 26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	110	Nov 25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	SELL	2.0¢	125	Nov 25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	11.0¢	125	Nov 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity132 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$16212d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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