spakila

0x77662b...34b7f6@TrumpN0120
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
+$115
Trade Count
2,163
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
2.11
Max Drawdown
1422.6%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.017
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL12.0¢5Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL13.0¢180Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY11.0¢18.32Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY13.0¢60Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY13.0¢171.82Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.1¢431.65Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.6¢9Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.5¢12.26Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.0¢31.3Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL16.7¢49.16Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.9¢22.07Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.1¢17.05Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.0¢8.19Mar 4
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY16.6¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢15.77Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢25.005Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢17.028Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢67.193Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY3.1¢25.005Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%64%< 10%20%10–20%10%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency35.9%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity2,163 trades · 53 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$62814d profit39d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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