Sparweed

0x5ac8b0...5aac48

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.5%

Total P&L

-$51

Trade Count

527

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

26.89

Max Drawdown

239.1%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.76

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	2.54	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	4.15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	2.0¢	30.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	1.6¢	1.27	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	0.81	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	SELL	19.0¢	1.06	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?	SELL	12.8¢	1.69	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?	SELL	28.0¢	0.21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?	BUY	8.2¢	24.443	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	11.0¢	1.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	0.28	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	SELL	16.0¢	1.31	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?	SELL	47.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?	SELL	27.0¢	0.37	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	2.3¢	1.38	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	0.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	0.84	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?	SELL	13.1¢	1.76	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?	SELL	22.0¢	0.65	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%

Win Consistency46.0%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity527 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$1745d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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