spreadkund

0x2e70a5...1b50eb
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
71.4%
Total P&L
+$122
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Sortino Ratio
0.09
Max Drawdown
380.8%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
2.73
Kelly Fraction
0.453
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL62.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY89.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?SELL75.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?SELL90.0¢1.111Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?SELL93.8¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY62.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?BUY91.9¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL67.0¢5.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?SELL92.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL67.0¢4Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL90.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY86.8¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?SELL88.2¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 6?BUY90.0¢0.19Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 5?SELL61.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢0.01Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢0.2Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?SELL95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY97.4¢5Mar 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%51%50–70%27%70–80%13%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency61.3%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 17 active days
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P&L Calendar
$598d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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