squishyturtle

0x05da12...7bae41

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.7%

Total P&L

-$756.6K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

0.51

Sortino Ratio

1.48

Max Drawdown

426.3%

ROI

-94.2%

Profit Factor

0.05

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	45.0¢	656.21	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	45.0¢	22.091	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	45.0¢	321.69	Mar 4
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	BUY	82.0¢	3.659	Feb 28
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	5	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	2.7	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	358.964	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	97.2¢	4.218	Feb 21
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	94.1¢	2.338	Feb 20
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	34.0¢	124.247	Feb 18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	90.0¢	13.333	Feb 17
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	96.7¢	3.102	Feb 16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	3.636	Feb 15
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	98.5¢	2.03	Feb 14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	3.918	Feb 13
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	7.692	Feb 12
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	2	Feb 11
Will Super Bowl LX have between 116M and 120M viewers?	BUY	96.9¢	3.096	Feb 10
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	95.0¢	5.263	Feb 9
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	93.7¢	5.336	Feb 8

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency68.2%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity997 trades · 74 active days

P&L Calendar

$799,70513d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue