SRFNHF

0x4aef2a...332461@BethGonzal1773

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.8%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.32

Sortino Ratio

-0.19

Max Drawdown

587.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.28

Kelly Fraction

0.525

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	79.419	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	79.339	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	79.259	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 4?	BUY	99.9¢	79.189	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	90.9¢	24.202	Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?	BUY	99.9¢	76.906	Jan 16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 11?	BUY	99.9¢	76.826	Jan 10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	76.746	Jan 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	76.677	Dec 30
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 21?	BUY	99.9¢	76.076	Dec 21
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on December 14?	BUY	99.9¢	76.516	Dec 14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	72.432	Nov 30
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 25?	BUY	99.9¢	72.362	Nov 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?	BUY	99.8¢	72.295	Nov 19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Nov 10
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Nov 10
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	28.056	Nov 7
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Nov 7
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	28.028	Nov 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Nov 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity38 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1970d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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