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Sry911FDF

Sry911FDF

0x03f020...d363e0@Boda9112
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
28.6%
Total P&L
+$80.7K
Trade Count
978
Sharpe Ratio
1.10
Sortino Ratio
277.60
Max Drawdown
73.1%
ROI
176.0%
Profit Factor
2.77
Kelly Fraction
0.183
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.1¢146.69Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.1¢50Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.1¢3.308Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY55.0¢2.222Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY51.0¢8.45Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY51.0¢85.83Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY81.0¢142.89Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY81.0¢357.11Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY25.0¢100Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY51.0¢5.714Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY40.0¢100Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY55.0¢55.556Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY72.0¢1.389Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY2.5¢200Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL19.0¢1,500Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY3.2¢156.25Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY19.0¢500Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY69.0¢144.928Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢83.333Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY36.0¢416.667Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%12%10–20%9%20–30%12%30–50%6%50–70%9%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.2%
Win Consistency48.2%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity978 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,2034d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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