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Stamap

Stamap

0x7addce...7ff9f4
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
58.1%
Total P&L
+$29.2K
Trade Count
3,725
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
14.27
Max Drawdown
74107.7%
ROI
5.7%
Profit Factor
1.62
Kelly Fraction
0.223
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY38.9¢1,246.53Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY27.1¢532.59Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY8.4¢29.37Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY8.4¢170.63Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY8.2¢369.08Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY30.4¢947.99Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY18.7¢2,969.55Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY42.0¢5,917.12Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY79.4¢478.76Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL68.0¢2,816.68Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?BUY59.2¢334.65Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.9¢412.73Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL93.1¢2,812.36Mar 2
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?SELL99.8¢4,777.42Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL61.6¢1,527.64Mar 2
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?BUY17.5¢2,592.1Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY36.0¢2,926.86Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY22.6¢6,822.98Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?BUY52.0¢1,717.5Mar 2
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY34.0¢3,055.28Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%8%10–20%9%20–30%14%30–50%16%50–70%10%70–80%13%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%
Win Consistency24.8%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity3,725 trades · 153 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$115,06938d profit115d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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