staydown5ive

0x7462e3...52559d

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.4%

Total P&L

+$74

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.40

Sortino Ratio

59.55

Max Drawdown

906.3%

ROI

26.1%

Profit Factor

1.81

Kelly Fraction

0.033

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	1.4¢	71.451	Mar 5
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	0.4¢	265.75	Mar 5
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	1.3¢	115.385	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	366.667	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,500	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	1.3¢	76.68	Mar 1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	19.0¢	5.88	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	6.89	Mar 1
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.6¢	111.11	Mar 1
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	SELL	30.0¢	8.33	Mar 1
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 1
Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	88.365	Mar 1
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	BUY	0.8¢	382.935	Mar 1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?	BUY	3.9¢	51.282	Mar 1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28?	BUY	0.5¢	881.589	Mar 1
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	1.8¢	112.778	Mar 1
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	4.0¢	25	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.7%

Win Consistency37.0%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity66 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

+$661d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue