StewardMacMillan

0x8bf97e...73ad33

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.0%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

146

Sharpe Ratio

-0.21

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

101.9%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.12

Kelly Fraction

0.083

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7.3	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	BUY	50.1¢	9.04	Feb 10
Kraken vs. Rangers	BUY	56.0¢	5	Jan 12
Rams vs. Seahawks	BUY	55.0¢	5	Dec 18
Lightning vs. Red Wings	BUY	47.0¢	5	Nov 28
Jets vs. Flames	BUY	42.0¢	5	Oct 20
Suns vs. Spurs	BUY	57.0¢	5.75	Feb 18
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?	BUY	52.0¢	5.22	Jan 16
Nets vs. Jazz	BUY	61.0¢	6.17	Jan 12
Dolphins vs. Jets	BUY	48.0¢	6.21	Jan 4
Raiders vs. Saints	BUY	49.0¢	5.73	Dec 27
Falcons vs. Raiders	BUY	30.0¢	6.9	Dec 16
Falcons vs. Vikings	BUY	70.0¢	5.97	Dec 4
Giants vs. Cowboys	BUY	65.0¢	5.49	Nov 27
Timberwolves vs. Raptors	BUY	28.0¢	9.6	Nov 21
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?	SELL	99.5¢	8.52	Nov 11
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?	BUY	99.9¢	11.862	Nov 11
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?	SELL	0.2¢	8	Nov 4
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?	BUY	0.3¢	5	Nov 4
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?	BUY	0.3¢	9	Nov 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity6 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$180d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue