StochasticFox

0x18f688...8002c4

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

-$151

Trade Count

101

Sharpe Ratio

-0.13

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

109.3%

ROI

-3.4%

Profit Factor

0.87

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	29.4¢	101.933	Mar 5
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	70.99	Mar 5
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	26.1¢	225.806	Mar 4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	60.5¢	24.81	Mar 4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	74.3¢	16.16	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	79.2¢	235	Mar 4
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?	BUY	38.0¢	68.421	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	64.0¢	468.4	Mar 1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	64.0¢	26.6	Mar 1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	64.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	547.74	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	8.4¢	350	Mar 1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	237.5	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	64.5¢	310.246	Feb 28
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	30	Feb 26
Will Emma win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	120	Feb 26
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	SELL	92.6¢	59.52	Jan 22
US recession by end of 2026?	SELL	22.0¢	260.52	Jan 22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	16.0¢	300	Jan 7
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	24.4¢	250	Dec 16

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%

Win Consistency59.6%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity101 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,75110d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics