submartingale0

0x64f779...d45bd7

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.1%

Total P&L

+$245

Trade Count

522

Sharpe Ratio

0.28

Sortino Ratio

4.81

Max Drawdown

459.0%

ROI

2.0%

Profit Factor

1.14

Kelly Fraction

0.057

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	65.0¢	153	Mar 5
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	150	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	SELL	58.8¢	96	Mar 5
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	42.0¢	96	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	10	Mar 5
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	81.95	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	40	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	10	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SELL	44.0¢	5	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	36.7¢	297	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	57.9¢	297	Mar 4
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%

Win Consistency43.4%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity522 trades · 113 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,35025d profit88d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue