sun.xiao

0x6868b8...6c3b71

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.1%

Total P&L

-$239

Trade Count

126

Sharpe Ratio

1.83

Sortino Ratio

98.53

Max Drawdown

10.6%

ROI

-4.9%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	4,451.35	Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	SELL	43.2¢	877.19	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	24.0¢	2,509.72	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	31.2¢	2,509.729	Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	57.0¢	877.193	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.9¢	1,718.276	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	2,733.074	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	307.15	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	245.333	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.9¢	61.82	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	32.54	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	BUY	30.4¢	32.903	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	SELL	80.0¢	14.747	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	SELL	80.0¢	120.34	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	SELL	80.0¢	0.59	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	BUY	50.1¢	137.843	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	29.6	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	SELL	80.0¢	35.8	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	36.364	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.0%

Win Consistency67.1%

Profit Factor1.49

Drawdown Resilience1.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.92

Trading Activity126 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$7902d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue