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sundown-679

0x345c85...967f79
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
92.9%
Total P&L
+$140.2K
Trade Count
902
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Sortino Ratio
-0.16
Max Drawdown
325.5%
ROI
8.3%
Profit Factor
58.36
Kelly Fraction
0.913
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL93.0¢93.19Oct 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢1,203.8Oct 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢262.66Oct 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢600Oct 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢2Oct 1
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢119.84Sep 30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢106.383Sep 30
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢36,490.85Sep 29
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢95Sep 29
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢1.064Sep 29
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢150Sep 29
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?SELL93.0¢308.87Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢100Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢1,418.714Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢42.857Sep 28
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢5.39Sep 28
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL94.0¢7,455.67Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢500Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢10.63Sep 28
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL7.0¢1,428.571Sep 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%6%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%56%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%
Win Consistency76.5%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity902 trades · 33 active days
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P&L Calendar
$339,02310d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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