sunmoon333

0x73eef0...1a2ac5

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.4%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

185

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.08

Max Drawdown

769.8%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.99

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	90.909	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	14.1¢	69.9	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	12.9¢	69.91	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	13.4¢	30.6	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	9.8¢	30.605	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	46.4¢	18.73	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	78.0¢	18.731	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	SELL	8.7¢	42.85	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	BUY	7.0¢	42.857	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	45.0¢	30.87	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	25.095	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	5.78	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	SELL	49.0¢	4.83	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	4.837	Feb 25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	SELL	72.0¢	2.9	Feb 25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	BUY	52.0¢	2.904	Feb 25
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	21.5¢	7.04	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	40.4	Feb 24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	5.91	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	3.205	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.8%

Win Consistency40.4%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity185 trades · 58 active days

P&L Calendar

$9720d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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